影响池养鳜健康的关键水生态因子
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Study on key aquatic ecosystem factors for culturing siniperca chuatsi by regulating model optimization
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    摘要:

    池塘生态系统是一个动态、多因素、非典型的复杂系统,用单因素统计法难以研究池塘养殖中的生态问题。在16口鳜养殖塘进行试验(总面积为4.7 hm2),每两周采样一次,获取鳜健康指标和pH、铵氮、硝酸盐氮、二氧化碳、总碱度、镁和细菌总数等17项水生态因子的87组监测数据,并对数据进行数理统计,研究探讨用权重因子、偏回归平方和、F检验值和相关系数等统计量优化进入鳜健康模型的因子。在满足一定准确度条件下,优选出用pH、铵氮、硝酸盐氮、二氧化碳、总碱度、镁浓度和细菌总数等7项因子为自变量,利用回归技术,求出它们与鳜健康指标(y)的关系模型为y=a0+∑7i=1aixi+∑7j=1ajx2j+∑7k=1akx3k的非线性模型,模型的预报准确率为92.4%。借助所得模型进一步推导出对鳜健康指标影响由大到小的因子是细菌总数、二氧化碳、pH、铵氮,他们的最佳取值范围依次为(13~27)×104 cfu•L-1、小于3 mL•L-1、7.5~8.0、 0.5 mL•L-1

    Abstract:

    Pond ecosystem is a complicated system with the characteristic of dynamic state, multiple factor and unrepresentative. It was difficult to give out results for cultivation problem via single factor statistic traditionally. The paper studied the model optimization of relationship between Siniperca chuatsi health index and seventeen aquatic ecological factors of Siniperca chuatsi culturing pond. The ecological factors involved pH value, ammonia nitrogen content, nitrate content, CO2 content, Mg2+ content, total alkalinity and general bacterial population, et al. Sampled water with plexiglass water sampler every two weeks between 8:00 a.m. to 9:00 a.m. Siniperca chuatsi health examination was done at the same time as water sampling. Employing the statistics as weight factor、F inspection value、Partial regression square-sum and correlation coefficient et al., the superiority model factors were obtained by mathematical statistics to 87 group of experiment data. A non-linear model between the superiority seven factors(pH、NH4+-N、NO3--N 、CO2 、total alkalinity、Mg2+、bacteria counts) and the siniperca chuatsi health comprehensive indicators were regressed and expressed as y=a0+ + + . Its precision was 92.1%. By means of the model, optimization cultivation conditions were analyzed, in order to do favor to ecological culture. The most effect factors on y which coming from the model were bacteria counts、CO2、pH and NH4+-N, and their best range took turns 13~27×104 cfu*L-1、less than 3 mL*L-1、7.5~8.0 and 0.5 mL*L-1

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赖子尼.影响池养鳜健康的关键水生态因子[J].水产学报,2008,32(4):601~607

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  • 收稿日期:2007-09-11
  • 最后修改日期:2008-03-01
  • 录用日期:2008-05-27
  • 在线发布日期: 2008-07-07
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